Tuesday, October 13, 2015

Week 6 Perfect Fantasy Lineup

QB

Aaron Rodgers vs SD | 30 points

At Lambeau Rodgers has been unstoppable, except last game with his two ints, but Rodgers will have a field day against a SD team that lost to a mediocre PIT team without Big Ben.  Vick had a deep 70 yard td pass and had more opportunities but missed on his throws that Rodger won't miss.

RB

Adrian Peterson vs KC | 26 points

He gets a good matchup here coming off a bye and has been unstoppable lately.  Look for him to have over 100 yards and multiple TDs.

Arian Foster vs JAC | 27 points

Foster will finally find his groove and tear up the Jags similar to what Doug Martin did but Foster is a much better back than Martin.  This game will be close and high scoring as Foster will get many receptions and over 150 total yards and multiple TDs.

WR

Odell Beckham vs PHI | 23 points

Had a huge bounce back game vs the 9ers and Philly is a very beatable secondary.  Odell looked the fastest he had all season and his nagging injury at the end of the game will have all week to heal up.  Expect multiple TD catches.

Brandon Marshall vs WAS | 21 points

He has been a beast with over 100 yards the last three games and that will continue with him and Decker back at full strength.  Look for a ton of targets, as usual, over 100 yards, and a TD or two.

Flex

AJ Green vs BUF | 20 points

Hasn't seen the end zone the last two weeks but expect that to change in a big way as he will get there twice.  Green had a tough matchup vs SEA last week but had a big TD called back that would have put him over 100 yards.  Lookout for the AJ Greenwe saw against the Ravens.

TE

Rob Gronkowski vs IND | 18 points

Just an absolute beast this year getting a huge amount of targets and goal line targets.  67 is his lowest yard output all season and he has 4 TDs already.  No TDs the last 2 games but that will change as Brady is on a mission to prove he's the best QB.

DEF

Baltimore vs SF | 20 points

The 49er's have been awful, last game they did much better against a mediocre Giants D but the Ravens will shut them down and the 49er's will not get over 10 points.  Kap will throw 2+ picks and the Ravens will get a defensive TD.

K

Stephen Gostowksi vs IND | 17 points

He's been the best kicker so far in a great offense, expect a lot of FGs.

Friday, October 9, 2015

Week 5 Fanduel Value Picks

QB


Tyrod Taylor vs TEN $7500

Fanduel still undervalues the 6th highest fantasy QB point getter.  He is the 10th most expensive QB and is $600 and $700 cheaper than Brees and P Manning respectively.  Also he has a great matchup vs a bad TEN team.

RB

Dion Lewis @ DAL $6900

Lewis has never scored under 11.2 fanduel points or 4 catches this season. He is still undervalued as he cheaper than backs like Hyde who hasn't scored more than 8.2 points his last three games.

TJ Yeldon @ TB $6600

Probably the cheapest he will be again this year.  He has a great matchup and is a featured back who saw 22 carries last week and 25 earlier this year vs MIA.  Plan on him getting 20+ carries and at least one touchdown.

WR

Willie Snead @ PHI $5300

Might be their top receiver option with Cooks hurt / just not producing.  Snead has seen a lot of targets and had 6 catches for 89 last week and 5 catches the week before.

Cole Beasley vs NE $5200

Beasley sees a lot of underneath targets and that is mostly what Weeden wants to throw so he sees a lot of action out of the slot.  He is also a burner who does punt returns so always has the ability to bust one off a catch or PR.

Thursday, October 1, 2015

Week 4 Thursday Night Football Projections

Score: Pit 27, Bal 31

QB

Mike Vick 220 pyds 1 ptd 1 int, 37 ryds

Getting his first start with little time to practice with the starters, I predict Vick has an average game as the Steelers rely on the run game and he gets less than 25 attempts.

Joe Flacco 330 pyds 2 ptd 1 int

The Ravens have not been able to run the ball at all so Flacco has been throwing the ball all over the field the past two weeks averaging 373 pyds/game the last two.

RB

Justin Forsett 69 ryds 1 rtd, 4 ctch 38 reyds

He has been terrible this year and the Ravens have looked to pass more, but I predict Forsett has a 40 or 50 yard TD run to boost his stats and the Ravens try to get him involved in the pass game.

Leveon Bell 87 ryds 2rtd, 5 ctch 45 reyds 1 retd

Bell will get at least 20 carries and I predict he will get looks in the passing game and have a big fantasy night with three TDs.


WR

Antonio Brown 8 ctch 87 reyds

Of the few attempts that I predict Vick to get, Brown will get at least half of the targets and make some plays after the catch but won't score.

Steve Smith 9 ctch 95 reyds 1 retd

Smith has been getting an insane amount of targets and is the only WR option on the team so I predict Smith will get loose for a TD and bring in 9 balls.

TE

Maxx Williams 4 ctch 49 reyds 1 retd

Flacco will throw a lot and Gilmore has two TDs so far but he is out so Williams will fill in his spot nicely.

Heath Miller 4 ctch 51 reyds

Vick likes to throw to his TE so Miller should see some targets but won't score as Bell gets two goal line TDs.



Wednesday, September 30, 2015

Week 4 FanDuel Value Picks

QB

Andy Dalton vs KC | $7,600 10th

There are 9 QB's that cost more money than Dalton and I think Dalton is a top 3 QB in week 4.  Dalton has the third most fantasy points this season and has a great matchup vs KC who has secondary health problems and gave up 5 pass TDs last week.

Derek Carr vs Chi | $7,000 17th

The 12th most points this FFB season and has great connections with the rookie Cooper and Crabtree.  I expect big numbers vs a bad Chicago football team.  Top 6 QB this week for me.

RB

Karlos Williams vs NYG | $6,300 26th

Only RB to score a touchdown in every week so far.  Got more touches than Mccoy last week and Mccoy could be out this week.  Williams is a big back and will get the goal line touches as well as many more.  Went for 110 yards on 12 carries vs what people thought was a good Dolphins D.  Probably the best value this week.

Lance Dunbar vs NO | $5,600 44th

Really deep if your strategy is to spend very little to get big stars on your roster.  Dunbar had 10 catches last week which is huge in the PPR FanDuel.  He will not get many carries but all Weeden does is throw short passes, he never wants to go downfield, and Dunbar is great after the catch and he will eventually get into the end zone.

WR


James Jones vs SF | $6,000 29th

The 9er's D is horrible giving up all kinds of touchdowns.  Somehow Jones is still not appreciated, maybe because he got cut by NY and just signed but he already has chemistry with Rodgers from years ago.  He has also the 13th most WR points and 4 touchdowns already.

Michael Crabtree vs Chi | $5,800 34th

Again, horrible Bears team and all the hype with Cooper, Crabtree has more targets than him.  Cooper also has only two more catches (20 vs 18) and Cooper will cost you $7,200.


Tuesday, August 25, 2015

Overrated Fantasy Players

*Rankings based on CBS Fantasy and belief they play 16 games*
QB

Eli Manning Giants

He is ranked 10th on the QB list in front of guys such as Rivers, Newton and Tannehill.  Manning will have some big games but then he will also have some really terrible games and I would rather take a chance on Rivers, who threw more TDs last year; Newton, who can make plays with his legs; or Tannehill who is projected to have breakout season with his new weapons.
Stat prediction: 4,200 yards, 26 TD, 16 INT


RB

CJ Anderson Broncos

Not sure that Anderson will get the carries that other top 10 RBs will get and that is my main concern. There is word that the Broncos want to get Hillman more carries and Anderson has not even had a full season of starting. Anderson did have two huge rushing games but the last 5 games of the year never got past 87 yards rushing and I would just not take him as a top 5 RB as many sites have suggested with Forte, Murray, Hill, and Mccoy ranked lower him.
Stat prediction: 900 rush yards 7 TDs

Frank Gore Colts

Last year I thought was going to be his last year as the ultimate workhorse and getting most of the carries as he had the 8th most carries last season and he only produced 4 rush TDs.  A RB ranking of 11 is too risky in my mind as he will probably miss some games because he is injury prone and old. I really don't think the carries will be what fantasy owners expect for Gore.  I would rather go with Ingram, Forsett, or Morris who are all ranked lower.
Stat prediction: 810 rush yards 6 TDs


WR

Amari Cooper Raiders

If he was on pretty much any other team I could maybe see ranking him as the 15th best WR but even that for a rookie is very high.  Cooper has great skill and potential but I don't see him having a great fantasy season and a very inconsistent one.  I would way rather take a chance on Andre Johnson or Keenan Allen, who are both #1 options with great QBs or number two options like Devante Adams or Martavias Bryant who also have great QBs.  Also the Raiders haven't had a 1,000 yard receiver since '05 when Randy Moss was in Oak.
Stat prediction: 900 yards 5 TDs

Allen Robinson

Probably their #1 option this season but Bortles is not a top QB and their top WR the last 7 seasons has not broken over 1,000 yards or 7 touchdowns.  Not really sure why Robinson has got all this love and the ranking of the 25th best WR, his production last year was the 3rd best WR on his team with 48 catches, 548 yards, and two TDs.
Stat prediction:  700 yards 4 TDs

Monday, August 24, 2015

Fantasy Sleepers and Projections

Rankings based on CBS fantasy and stat predictions based on playing 16 games
QB

Tyrod Taylor
Has a legitimate chance to be the starter and could do serious damage with his legs.  If he starts at least 12 games I think he will lead the league in QB rush yards.  The Bills also have some weapons in the passing attack with Watkins and Mccoy out of the backfield those targets will get him a lot of yards after the catch.
Stat prediction: 2700 pass yards 16 TD passes, 550 rush yards 4 TD

RB

Denard Robinson JAC

He was the starter for the second half of last season and TJ Yeldon has not been named the starter yet. Many experts have Robinson outside of their top 60 RBs but I would take a chance and take him as a top 40 RB. He had two games with over 100 rush yards and a 94 yard rush game. Robinson also had 4 touchdowns the second half of the season.
Stat prediction: 1000 Rush yards 6 TDs

Darren Mcfadden DAL

Mcfadden is battling Randle for the starting spot and I think Mcfadden wins the job.  Randle is being ranked in the top 20 of RBs while Mcfadden is in the 40s.  Mcfadden has a chance to be a top 15 RB in points this year running behind one of the best OL in the NFL if he can stay healthy.
Stat prediction: 1200 Rush yards 8 total TDs

WR

Devante Adams GB

With Nelson going down with an injury I would take a chance on Adams in this high powered offense and rank him inside the top 20 of WRs. He could have a big TD season and showed some promise last season as he had a 121 yard game and brought in 3 TDs as the teams 3rd option last season.
Stat Prediction: 1100 yards 7 TDs

Marques Colston NO

Colston had a down year last season but he is now the primary target again with Stills and Graham out of town.  He should see more targets and produce a good fantasy season along with the speedster Cooks.  He is ranked around 50 in WRs and could be a top 25 WR.
Stat prediction: 1000 yards 7 TDs